BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Arkansas St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 92 Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (5-3) Overall: (8-5) Overall Strength =  150.56

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2019 Home    L   154.79  30  37   1A  41 ( 10-  3) SMU                     5.93    -12.93                      
  2 09/07/2019 Away    W   169.23  43  17   1A 117 (  4-  8) UNLV                   20.37      5.63                      
  3 09/14/2019 Away    L   128.47   0  55   1A   7 ( 12-  2) Georgia               -20.40 *  -34.60                      
  4 09/21/2019 Home    W   151.42  41  28   1B  16 (  7-  5) Southern Illinois       2.55     10.45                      
  5 09/28/2019 Away    W * 153.97  50  43   1A 106 (  5-  7) Troy                    5.11      1.89                      
  6 10/05/2019 Away    L * 132.59  38  52   1A 107 (  7-  6) Georgia St            -16.27      2.27                      
  7 10/17/2019 Home    L * 147.12  20  37   1A  36 ( 11-  3) Louisiana-Lafayette    -1.74    -15.26                      
  8 10/26/2019 Home    W * 160.10  38  14   1A 120 (  3-  9) Texas St-San Marcos    11.24     12.76                      
  9 11/02/2019 Away    W * 154.50  48  41   1A 101 (  5-  7) Louisiana-Monroe        5.64      1.36                      
 10 11/16/2019 Home    W * 143.43  28  27   1A 108 (  5-  7) Coastal Carolina       -5.44      6.44                      
 11 11/23/2019 Home    W * 155.13  38  33   1A  79 (  7-  6) Georgia Southern        6.27     -1.27                      
 12 11/29/2019 Away    L * 135.60  30  34   1A 121 (  2- 10) South Alabama         -13.26      9.26                      
 13 12/21/2019 Unknown W   148.86  34  26   ZZ   3 (  0-  1) Florida Int'll         -0.00      8.00                      
      Averages             148.86  33.7 34.2

Best game:  169.23 = 26 point win over UNLV
Worst game: 128.47 = 55 point loss to Georgia
Team stdev:  11.43